Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.216090 0.250350 0.288275 0.333374 0.385554 0.444045 0.514617
2025-08-03 0.161473 0.207096 0.262900 0.336199 0.430016 0.546184 0.701171
2025-08-10 0.129654 0.178395 0.242266 0.332141 0.455499 0.619139 0.853221
2025-08-17 0.105906 0.154308 0.221403 0.321265 0.466371 0.669991 0.978326
2025-08-24 0.093594 0.143310 0.215663 0.328727 0.501344 0.755670 1.160308
2025-08-31 0.082417 0.131922 0.207171 0.329995 0.525994 0.827642 1.329291
2025-09-07 0.074130 0.123558 0.201733 0.334510 0.555122 0.908442 1.520274
2025-09-14 0.065039 0.112539 0.190471 0.327793 0.564639 0.958190 1.665683
2025-09-21 0.058158 0.104218 0.182424 0.325057 0.579817 1.017982 1.833794
2025-09-28 0.053250 0.098627 0.178209 0.328144 0.604932 1.096734 2.043251
2025-10-05 0.050960 0.097397 0.181383 0.344584 0.655470 1.225234 2.356926
2025-10-12 0.048138 0.094798 0.181696 0.355603 0.696949 1.341272 2.660122
2025-10-19 0.045328 0.091973 0.181427 0.365805 0.738694 1.463649 2.992875
2025-10-26 0.041936 0.087603 0.177713 0.368843 0.766816 1.563088 3.292698
2025-11-02 0.038146 0.081941 0.170754 0.364391 0.779016 1.631810 3.537074
2025-11-09 0.034078 0.075195 0.160800 0.352456 0.774033 1.664460 3.708470
2025-11-16 0.032279 0.073107 0.160313 0.360644 0.812986 1.793372 4.104002
2025-11-23 0.030073 0.069851 0.156937 0.362036 0.837008 1.892451 4.444227
2025-11-30 0.028356 0.067493 0.155253 0.366991 0.869518 2.013554 4.848831
2025-12-07 0.025905 0.063137 0.148584 0.359620 0.872528 2.067909 5.102349
2025-12-14 0.023992 0.059839 0.143989 0.356618 0.885515 2.146677 5.423898
2025-12-21 0.022655 0.057794 0.142122 0.360005 0.914391 2.266213 5.860324
2025-12-28 0.022281 0.058112 0.145983 0.378046 0.981789 2.486629 6.578490